Sekungamashumi eminyaka, ukukhetha abawinile emjahweni we-New Zealand thoroughbred kuncike ezithakweni ezifanayo: umhlahlandlela wefomu, iso elibukhali, ulwazi oluthile lomzila, kanye nenhlanhla encane. Abagijimi abahle kakhulu bathuthukisa umuzwa wokuqonda - umuzwa wokuthi ihhashi selilungile, lapho umqeqeshi esethole umjaho ofanele, lapho izimo zomzila zivuma.
Kodwa umuzwa unemingcele. Ubuchopho bomuntu bungabamba cishe iziguquguquki eziyishumi nambili ngesikhathi esisodwa. Umhlangano ojwayelekile we-NZ gallops uhilela amahhashi amaningi, abagibeli abaningi nabaqeqeshi, izimo zokushintsha ithrekhi, izikhathi zesigaba, izibalo zezithiyo, kanye nemijikelezo yefomu ethatha izinyanga. Ngisho nomuntu ohlakaniphile kakhulu ushiya imali etafuleni - hhayi ngoba enephutha, kodwa ngoba akakwazi ukubona isithombe esigcwele.
Yilapho i-AI ingena khona kulesi sithombe.
Lokho Okulethwa Yi-AI Ekuhlaziyweni Kwemijaho Yase-NZ
Ukufunda komshini akukusha emijahweni yamahhashi. Amapulatifomu omhlaba wonke afana ne-Horse Racing Nation kanye ne-Timeform asebenzise amamodeli ezibalo iminyaka eminingi. Kodwa iningi lalawo masistimu akhiwe kumasethi amakhulu edatha aphesheya kwezilwandle - aseMelika, aseBrithani, ase-Australia - futhi aguqulelwe eNew Zealand njengomqondo wakamuva.
Inkinga ukuthi umjaho wase-NZ uhlukile ngempela. Amasimu amancane. Imihlangano embalwa. Landela izimo ezishintsha ngokushesha. Amaphethini kajokhi nomqeqeshi angabonisi isimo samazwe ngamazwe. Imodeli ye-AI eqeqeshwe kakhulu kudatha yase-UK ayiqondi ukuthi kungani ihhashi eligijima kahle eRiccarton lingase lihlupheke eTe Rapa, noma ukuthi kungani isithiyo esithile e-Awapuni besilokhu senza kahle kakhulu ku-Soft 6.
Isixazululo siyimodeli eqeqeshwe kuphela kudatha yase-NZ.
Idatha Engemuva Kwezibikezelo
I-AI yomjaho yase-NZ eyakhelwe ngenhloso idla izinkulungwane zezinto eziguquguqukayo ngomjaho ngamunye. Hhayi nje kuphela lezo ezisobala - isithiyo, isisindo, isimo samuva - kodwa namaphethini abantu abangakwazi ukuwabala:
Izikhathi zesigaba — indlela ihhashi eliqede ngayo ibanga lalo lokugcina lamamitha angu-200 kanye namamitha angu-600 uma kuqhathaniswa nesilinganiso sensimu, hhayi nje indawo yalo yokugcina.
Ukusebenza kwesithiyo ngethrekhi nebanga — ukuthi ngabe isithiyo 3 eTrentham esingaphezu kwamamitha ayi-1600 sihlukile ngokwezibalo yini kunesithiyo 3 eRiccarton ohambweni olufanayo.
Umlando wesimo sokuhamba — indlela amahhashi ngamanye asebenza ngayo emigwaqweni emihle, ethambile, nenzima, ehlukaniswe ngohlobo lobuso.
Amaphethini omqeqeshi kanye nabagibeli bamahhashi kumathrekhi athile — hhayi nje kuphela izinga labo lokushaya, kodwa nendlela abadlala ngayo endaweni ngayinye.
Ukuguqulwa kwekilasi — indlela amahhashi akhuphuka noma ehla ngayo ezingeni elifanele emlandweni aye aphumelela ngayo emijahweni efanayo.
Izinguquko zesisindo somjaho — umehluko phakathi kwesisindo esabiwe kanye nesisindo sangempela esithwalwa, kufaka phakathi izimangalo zomfundi.
Imodeli ayiqageli. Ifunda emashumini ezinkulungwane zemiphumela yomjaho yase-NZ yomlando — wonke umgijimi, indawo ngayinye, yonke imingcele — futhi ikhomba inhlanganisela yezici ezibikezele impumelelo ngokomlando.
Kungani Izimo Zokulandelela Zibaluleke Kakhulu Kunokuba Iningi Labagijimi Likuqaphela
Enye yezinto ezihlaba umxhwele kakhulu ezitholwe ekuhlaziyweni kwe-AI kwedatha yomjaho yase-NZ ukuthi isimo sithonya kanjani imiphumela ngendlela enamandla - nokuthi amahhashi ngamanye abhekana kanjani naso ngokungaguquki.
Thatha insimu ejwayelekile yaphakathi nesonto e-Otaki. Ku-Good 4, othandwayo angase abe nerekhodi lomsebenzi wokuwina okungu-3 kusukela ekuqaleni okungu-7 ku-Good tracks. Kodwa funda kabanzi, futhi ungathola ukuthi lokho kunqoba okuthathu kuvele ku-Good 3 noma kuqine kakhulu - futhi lelo hhashi alikaze lihlale endaweni ethambile noma esindayo. Okwamanje, ithuba elingu-15-1 emjahweni ofanayo ligijime imijaho emine kwemihlanu emihle kakhulu yomsebenzi endaweni ethintwe yimvula.
Iningi labadlali libheka isimo somkhondo bese lilungisa ukucabanga kwalo ngebanga elilodwa noma amabili. Imodeli iyalinganisa, ifunde kuyo, futhi isebenzise lokho kufunda ezinkulungwaneni zamahhashi.
Kuthiwani Ngenani?
Yilapho i-AI ishintsha khona umdlalo wabadlali be-NZ.
Kuyinto eyodwa ukukhetha abawinile. Kuyinto ehlukile ukukhetha abawinile ngentengo efanele. Uhlelo oluhle lokubikezela alugcini nje ngokuhlela amahhashi - luqagela amathuba. Uma imodeli inikeza ihhashi ithuba lokuwina elingu-25%, futhi amathuba ahleliwe e-TAB asho ithuba elingu-12% (cishe u-$8.00+), lelo yithuba elibalulekile.
Lokhu ukubheja kwe-Expected Value (EV) — umqondo ofanayo osetshenziswa abadlali be-poker abangochwepheshe kanye nababheja bezemidlalo. Awudingi ukuwina yonke imincintiswano. Udinga ukubeka ukubheja lapho amathuba eqiniso edlula khona intengo yemakethe.
I-AI iyazigqaja ngalokhu ngoba ayinamizwa. Ayithandi igama lehhashi, noma idukiswe ukunqoba kokugcina okumangalisayo, noma ilungise ngokweqile ngemva kokushaya kabi. Icubungula idatha, ilinganise amathuba, futhi ivumele izibalo zikhulume.
Isici Somuntu Sisebalulekile
I-AI ayithathi indawo yokwahlulela komgijimi — iyayithuthukisa. Indlela engcono kakhulu ihlanganisa amathuba akhiqizwe yi-AI nolwazi lwakho ngalo mdlalo. Ungase wazi ukuthi umqeqeshi othile uhlose lo mhlangano njalo ngonyaka, noma ukuthi i-jockey inencwadi enamandla yokugibela namuhla. Imodeli ayithwebuli konke.
Kodwa lokho okwenziwa yimodeli — amaphethini ezibalo kuzo zonke izindlela zomlando ezingaphezu kuka-100,000 — ulwazi okungekho muntu ongalugcina ekhanda lakhe. Sebenzisa kokubili, futhi udlala ngenzuzo ebonakalayo.
Ukuqala Ngokubikezela Umjaho we-AI e-NZ
Amapulatifomu amaningana manje anikeza ulwazi lomjaho wase-NZ olusekelwe kudatha. Elinye elakhelwe ngqo ama-gallops aseNew Zealand yileli Okuthunyelwe Okuwinayo — injini yokubikezela ye-AI eqeqeshwe kuphela kudatha yomjaho yase-NZ. Ihlanganisa yonke imihlangano yase-NZ, ikhiqiza amathuba okuwina nokubeka, futhi igqamisa amathuba enani ngokusekelwe enanini elilindelekile.
Le nsizakalo okwamanje ikwi-beta yangasese, kanti kukhona isivivinyo samahhala esitholakalayo kubadlali abafuna ukuhlola ukuthi i-AI ingakwazi yini ukulola ikhono labo.
Kungakhathaliseki ukuthi usebenzisa i-Winning Post, wakha amamodeli akho, noma umane unaka kakhulu izikhathi zesigaba kanye nokuhlukaniswa kwesimo sethrekhi, isiqondiso sicacile: ukuhlaziywa kwemijaho yase-NZ kudlula ekuguqukeni kwedatha. Abagijimi abazojwayela yibo ababambe amathikithi efasiteleni lokukhokha.
*(Lesi sihloko senzelwe ulwazi kuphela. Ukubheja emjahweni wamahhashi kuhilela ingozi yezezimali. Sicela ugembule ngendlela efanele.)*
