I-Japan iyizwe elaziwa ngamandla alo kwezomnotho kanye nezici zobuchwepheshe. Umnotho wayo ungomunye wentuthuko kakhulu emhlabeni, enezici zayo ezihlukile. Izwe liphakathi kwabahwebi abahamba phambili emhlabeni, lithumela imikhiqizo yalo emazweni angaphezu kuka-150. Ngaphezu kwalokho, i-Japan ibambe iqhaza ezinhlanganweni zezomnotho zamazwe ngamazwe njenge-World Trade Organization (WTO) kanye ne-Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC).

Imboni idlala indima ebalulekile emnothweni waseJapan. I-Japan ikhiqiza izimoto, i-electronics, amakhemikhali, nezinye izimpahla emhlabeni jikelele. Imboni yaseJapan iyahamba phambili ngenxa yezinga layo eliphezulu lokuzenzakalela kanye nokusetshenziswa kobuchwepheshe obuphambili, okuyenza ikwazi ukukhiqiza imikhiqizo esezingeni eliphezulu ngamanani ancintisanayo.

Nokho, umnotho waseJapan uhlangabezana nezinselele. Okubalulekile ukuthembela kwayo okuphezulu ekuthengisweni kwamanye amazwe, okwenza kube sengozini yokushintsha umnotho womhlaba. Ngaphezu kwalokho, eminyakeni yamuva nje kuye kwaba nezinkinga emsebenzini nasemisebenzini, kuhlanganise nokuncipha kwemisebenzi, ukuncipha kwabasebenzi, nokwanda kokuntuleka kwemisebenzi. Lesi sakamuva singabangwa ukufuduka kwabantu besuka ezindaweni zasemakhaya beya emadolobheni. Ukwengeza, izindaba zokunukubezeka kwemvelo zingaba nomthelela ekutshalweni kwezimali futhi zithiye ukukhula komnotho. Izinguquko zakamuva zezombangazwe eJapane, njengezinguquko zikahulumeni nezokhetho, zingase zengeze ekuzinzeni komnotho wezwe.

Naphezu kwalezi zingqinamba, umnotho waseJapane usaqhubeka nokuqhubekela phambili. Eminyakeni yakamuva, uhulumeni wase-Japan usebenzise izinyathelo zokuthuthukisa ukukhula komnotho, njengokwandisa utshalomali kwingqalasizinda nezemfundo kanye nokwenza ngcono izimo zamabhizinisi amancane naphakathi nendawo.

I-Japan ihlala itshala imali kwezobuchwepheshe kanye nokusungula izinto ezintsha, okunomthelela ekuthuthukisweni komnotho. Kodwa-ke, kungaholela ekwandeni kwezindleko zocwaningo nentuthuko, okungenzeka kunciphise ukuncintisana emakethe yomhlaba. Muva nje umnotho uye wabona ukukhula, nakuba ubungalingani ngandlela thize, uthonywe yimali etholwa yimpahla ethunyelwa ngaphandle kanye nokutshalwa kwezimali kwingqalasizinda.

Zonke lezi zici ekugcineni zithinta izinga lokushintshaniswa kwe-Yen yaseJapane (USD JPY). Izinga linesisindo kubatshalizimali bamazwe ngamazwe kanye nosomabhizinisi abasebenza ne-Japan, okunomthelela enanini lezimpahla zase-Japan ezifana namasheya nezindlu ezithengiswayo kanye nezintengo zezimpahla zase-Japan ezithengiswa phesheya.

Kuhle ukuqaphela ukuthi ipheya yemali ye-USD JPY isendaweni yesibili ngevolumu yokuhweba, ilandela kuphela EUR USD, eyaziwa ngokungabi namali.

Kuwo wonke u-2023, kube nokuthambekela okukhuphukayo kwezinga lokushintshisana kulandela ukulungiswa ngonyaka odlule. Ukukhula okuphakanyisiwe kwe-Gross Domestic Product (GDP) kungaholela ekwenyukeni okukhulu kwezinga lokushintshisana.

Nokho, isici esiyinhloko okufanele sibukwe izinga lokwehla kwamandla emali. Imakethe iqhwa kulindelwe, cishe bonke abathengisi balungiselela ukuthengisa. Ukukhathazeka okuhlala njalo kuncike ebuthakathakeni, ukuhambisana nemizwa ye-bearish.

Umzabalazo waseJapan nokwehla kwamandla emali ngandlela-thile uyihlaya eliqhubekayo. Naphezu kokuba ithuthuke kakhulu, ayigonyiwe ezinkingeni zokwehla kwamandla emali. Phakathi kuka-1985 no-2014, izinga lokwehla kwamandla emali e-Japan lisalele emuva kwamanye amazwe athuthukile, okwenza kube nezinga lenzalo eliphansi kanye nenzuzo ephansi ezimpahleni zokutshalwa kwezimali. Kodwa-ke, kusukela ngo-2020, ukwehla kwamandla emali kwaqala ukukhuphuka futhi kwafinyelela emazingeni angakaze abonwe ngo-2022.

Imbangela yokwehla kwamandla emali eJapan ukukhiqiza okuphansi kwabasebenzi okuhambisana nezindleko eziphezulu zabasebenzi. Ukuze kuliwe nokwehla kwamandla emali, uhulumeni waseJapane waqala izinyathelo ezihlukahlukene, ezihlanganisa ukwehlisa izintela ezivela kwamanye amazwe kanye nokwenyuka kwezindleko zengqalasizinda. Kwethulwa izinguquko zesakhiwo ukuze kwehliswe ukuthembela kubatshalizimali bakwamanye amazwe ngenkathi kukhuphula ukubamba iqhaza kwabatshalizimali basekhaya.

Noma kunjalo, naphezu kwale mizamo, ukwehla kwamandla emali kuyaqhubeka kukhuphuka. Ngo-2022, ukwehla kwamandla emali eJapan kwafinyelela ku-4.3%, okumaka izinga eliphakeme kakhulu eminyakeni engama-25. Izinto zifaka izintengo eziphakeme zamandla nempahla kanye nokunyuka kwezindleko zezenhlalakahle nokunakekelwa kwezempilo.

Ngakho, ukubhekana nokwehla kwamandla emali kuseyinselele eqhubekayo eJapane. Uhulumeni kufanele aphikelele ekulungiseni uhlelo lwezezimali, anciphise ukuthembela kubatshalizimali bangaphandle, athuthukise ukukhiqizwa kwezabasebenzi, futhi anciphise izindleko zabasebenzi.

Ukubuyela esilinganisweni se-USD JPY, ngokombono wezobuchwepheshe, ukukhathazeka mayelana nokwehla kunesisekelo esiqinile. Intengo isondela ekuphikiseni komlando kwe-147.00-150.00.

Uma sikhuluma nje, leli zinga libalulekile kubo bonke ababambiqhaza bemakethe. Ukuwohloka kwayo kuzophawula isiteji esisha ekuthuthukisweni kwebhangqa lemali futhi kuzovula indlela yokukhula okuhlelekile.

Ngokuphambene, ukugxuma okuya phansi kuzogcina ibhalansi phakathi kokunikezwayo nesidingo, kuhlanganiswe intengo ngaphakathi kwesiteshi esivundlile cishe ngo-127.00.

Ngakho-ke yibuke eduze uma ubona imakethe yaseJapane njengesengezo esihle kuphothifoliyo yakho. Kodwa-ke, ungakhohlwa ukuthi ukuhlaziya kobuchwepheshe nokuyisisekelo kufanele kuhambe ngaphambi kwezinqumo zokutshala imali.

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