Tsawon shekaru da dama, zabar wadanda suka yi nasara a tseren da aka yi da thoroughbred na New Zealand ya dogara ne akan abubuwa iri daya: jagorar tsari, ido mai kaifi, dan ilimin hanya, da kuma sa'a fiye da kadan. Mafi kyawun masu yin fare suna haɓaka fahimta - jin lokacin da doki ya shirya, lokacin da mai horarwa ya sami tseren da ya dace, lokacin da yanayin tseren ya dace.

Amma fahimta tana da iyaka. Kwakwalwar ɗan adam za ta iya riƙe abubuwa da yawa a lokaci guda. Matsakaicin haɗuwar tseren tsere na NZ ya ƙunshi dawakai da yawa, mahaya dawakai da yawa da masu horarwa, yanayin tseren da ke canzawa, lokutan sashe, ƙididdigar shinge, da zagayowar tsari wanda ke ɗaukar watanni. Ko da mai yin fare mafi kaifi yana barin kuɗi a kan teburi - ba don sun yi kuskure ba, amma saboda ba za su iya ganin cikakken hoto ba.

Nan ne AI ke shiga cikin hoton.

Abin da AI ke kawowa ga Nazarin Gudun NZ

Koyon injina ba sabon abu bane ga tseren dawaki. Dandalin duniya kamar Horse Racing Nation da Timeform sun yi amfani da samfuran ƙididdiga tsawon shekaru. Amma yawancin waɗannan tsarin an gina su ne akan manyan bayanai na ƙasashen waje - Amurka, Birtaniya, Ostiraliya - kuma an daidaita su don New Zealand a matsayin tunani na gaba.

Matsalar ita ce tseren NZ ya bambanta da gaske. Ƙananan filayen wasa. Ƙarancin tarurruka. Yanayin bin diddigin da ke canzawa da sauri. Tsarin tsere da mai horarwa waɗanda ba sa kama da yanayin ƙasashen duniya. Tsarin AI wanda aka horar musamman akan bayanan Burtaniya bai fahimci dalilin da yasa doki da ya yi gudu sosai a Riccarton zai iya fama da Te Rapa ba, ko kuma dalilin da yasa wani shinge a Awapuni bai yi aiki sosai ba a tarihi akan Soft 6.

Mafita ita ce samfurin da aka horar musamman akan bayanan NZ.

Bayanan da ke Bayan Hasashen

Tsarin tsere na AI na NZ wanda aka gina da manufa yana ɗauke da dubban masu canji a kowace tsere. Ba wai kawai waɗanda aka bayyana ba - shinge, nauyi, da kuma yanayin da aka saba gani - amma kuma tsarin da masu nakasa ba sa samun lokacin ƙididdigewa:

Lokutan sashe — yadda doki ya kammala tseren mita 200 da mita 600 na ƙarshe idan aka kwatanta da matsakaicin filin wasa, ba kawai matsayinsa na ƙarshe ba.

Aikin shinge ta hanyar hanya da nisa — ko shinge na 3 a Trentham sama da mita 1600 ya bambanta a kididdiga da shinge na 3 a Riccarton a cikin wannan tafiya.

Tarihin yanayin da ya gabata — yadda dawakai ke aiki a kan waƙoƙi masu kyau, masu laushi, da masu nauyi, waɗanda aka raba su bisa ga nau'in saman.

Tsarin mai horarwa da jockey a takamaiman waƙoƙi — ba wai kawai yawan yajin aikinsu ba, har ma da yadda suke yin wasa a kowane wuri.

Canjin aji - yadda dawakai ke hawa ko sauka a matsayi a tarihi a cikin irin waɗannan tsere.

Canje-canje a nauyin tsere - bambanci tsakanin nauyin da aka ware da kuma ainihin nauyin da ake ɗauka, idan aka yi la'akari da da'awar ɗalibi.

Tsarin ba ya tsammani. Yana koyo daga dubban sakamakon tarihi na tseren NZ - kowanne mai gudu, kowane matsayi, kowane gefe - kuma yana gano haɗakar abubuwan da suka annabta nasara a tarihi.

Me Yasa Yanayin Bin Diddigi Ya Fi Muhimmanci Fiye da Yadda Yawancin Masu Fasa Kwaikwayo Ke Sani?

Ɗaya daga cikin abubuwan da suka fi burgewa daga nazarin AI na bayanan tsere na NZ shine yadda yanayin bin diddigin ke tasiri sosai ga sakamako - da kuma yadda dawakai daban-daban ke sarrafa shi ba tare da wata matsala ba.

Yi wasa a tsakiyar mako a Otaki. A cikin Good 4, wanda aka fi so zai iya samun tarihin aiki na nasara 3 daga farawa 7 a kan waƙoƙin Good. Amma ka zurfafa bincike, kuma za ka iya ganin waɗannan nasarorin uku duk sun zo ne a kan Good 3 ko kuma sun fi ƙarfi - kuma wannan dokin bai taɓa tsayawa a kan wani wuri mai laushi ko mai nauyi ba. A halin yanzu, damar 15-1 a cikin wannan tseren ta yi tsere huɗu daga cikin mafi kyawun tsere biyar na aiki a filin da ruwan sama ya shafa.

Yawancin masu yin fare suna kallon yanayin tseren kuma suna daidaita tunaninsu da maki ɗaya ko biyu. Tsarin yana ƙididdige shi, yana koyo daga gare shi, kuma yana amfani da wannan koyo a kan dubban dawakai.

Me Game da Daraja?

Nan ne AI ke canza wasan ga masu sha'awar wasan NZ.

Abu ɗaya ne a zaɓi waɗanda suka yi nasara. Wani abu kuma shi ne a zaɓi waɗanda suka yi nasara a farashi mai kyau. Tsarin hasashen da ya dace ba wai kawai ya sanya dawaki a matsayi ba ne - yana ƙiyasta yiwuwar hakan. Idan samfurin ya ba wa doki damar cin nasara da kashi 25%, kuma rashin daidaiton TAB yana nufin damar da kashi 12% (kimanin dala $8.00+), wannan dama ce mai daraja.

Wannan fare ne da ake tsammani (EV) — irin wannan ra'ayi ne da 'yan wasan poker na ƙwararru da masu yin fare a wasanni ke amfani da shi. Ba kwa buƙatar cin nasara a kowace tsere. Kuna buƙatar yin fare a inda ainihin yuwuwar ya wuce farashin kasuwa.

AI ta yi fice a wannan saboda ba ta da motsin rai. Ba ta son sunan doki, ko kuma ta shagaltu da nasara mai ban mamaki a farkon wasan, ko kuma ta yi daidai bayan ta yi rashin nasara. Tana sarrafa bayanai, tana kimanta yuwuwar hakan, kuma tana barin lissafi ya yi magana.

Halin Dan Adam Har yanzu Yana Da Muhimmanci

AI ba ta maye gurbin hukuncin mai yin fare ba ne - tana ƙara masa ƙarfi ne. Hanya mafi kyau ta haɗa damar da AI ke samarwa tare da iliminka game da wasan. Wataƙila ka san cewa wani mai horarwa yana kai hari ga wannan takamaiman taron kowace shekara, ko kuma cewa mahaya yana da ingantaccen littafin hawa a yau. Samfurin ba ya ɗaukar komai.

Amma abin da samfurin ya kama - tsarin ƙididdiga a cikin tarihin tarihi sama da 100,000 - shine bayanin da babu wani ɗan adam da zai iya riƙewa a cikin kansa. Yi amfani da duka biyun, kuma kuna wasa da fa'ida ta zahiri.

Farawa da Hasashen Tseren AI a NZ

Yanzu haka dandamali da dama suna ba da bayanai game da tseren NZ bisa ga bayanai. Wanda aka gina musamman don tseren gallops na New Zealand shine Nasara Post — injin hasashen AI wanda aka horar da shi kawai kan bayanan tsere na NZ. Yana rufe duk tarurrukan da aka tsara a NZ, yana haifar da nasara da kuma sanya damarmaki, kuma yana nuna damarmaki bisa ga ƙimar da ake tsammani.

A halin yanzu ana amfani da wannan sabis ɗin a cikin beta na sirri, tare da gwaji kyauta ga masu yin fare waɗanda ke son gwada ko AI za su iya ƙara ƙarfinsu.

Ko da kuna amfani da Winning Post, ko gina samfuran ku, ko kuma kawai ku kula sosai da lokutan sashe da kuma rarrabuwar yanayin hanya, alkiblar a bayyane take: Binciken tseren NZ yana cikin juyin juya halin bayanai. Masu yin fare da suka daidaita su ne za su riƙe tikitin a tagar biyan kuɗi.

*(Wannan labarin don dalilai na bayanai ne kawai. Yin fare a tseren dawaki ya shafi haɗarin kuɗi. Don Allah a yi caca da kyau.)*

Mawallafi